Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.295108 1.565008 1.899802 2.353989 2.967624 3.788914e+00 5.009786
2025-01-19 0.911133 1.210510 1.636253 2.316037 3.438961 5.361456e+00 9.300291
2025-01-26 0.757003 1.077784 1.583638 2.505807 4.327392 8.315326e+00 20.250358
2025-02-02 0.649217 0.972181 1.522548 2.637360 5.205123 1.232465e+01 45.472641
2025-02-09 0.556712 0.863855 1.417320 2.630963 5.793208 1.661238e+01 98.749413
2025-02-16 0.480537 0.765336 1.300308 2.547227 6.137493 2.094141e+01 216.097109
2025-02-23 0.434929 0.711586 1.254370 2.605649 6.962961 2.964325e+01 813.748136
2025-03-02 0.402642 0.675999 1.235519 2.723816 8.135455 4.532227e+01 11362.770374
2025-03-09 0.368707 0.631162 1.185980 2.740299 8.979655 6.450788e+01 NaN
2025-03-16 0.332661 0.576677 1.103530 2.631548 9.201695 8.057945e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.314674 0.556277 1.095481 2.748565 10.721121 1.372740e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 0.294464 0.528318 1.063615 2.777581 11.861138 2.201572e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.270727 0.490541 1.002316 2.690252 12.253302 3.087381e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.251280 0.459998 0.954647 2.638241 12.900828 4.795397e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.244598 0.456724 0.977179 2.863295 16.270253 1.820119e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 0.235677 0.447182 0.981043 3.020591 19.666991 1.195632e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 0.222480 0.426188 0.949189 3.012812 21.424590 1.215801e+05 NaN
2025-05-11 0.208016 0.400759 0.900690 2.912374 21.893673 7.464852e+06 NaN
2025-05-18 0.199529 0.388673 0.889121 2.982404 25.135654 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.193424 0.381641 0.891365 3.124371 30.453614 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.184975 0.368002 0.871219 3.144206 33.939392 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.174065 0.347317 0.826238 3.013483 33.789664 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.169517 0.342128 0.829436 3.154156 41.389885 NaN NaN